Pakistan is a critical part of BRI, and India is an important member of BRICS. A war between Pakistan and India will impede trade over BRI and sour relations between two biggest BRICS members. Given that the US is in economic war with China, it seems pretty obvious who the biggest beneficiary of all this is.
True. I don´t quite see a war popping up though… Pakistani social media is currently laughing at its own military (understandably so) and wishing it crumbles. India will soon see investment fly if this continues. Israel does not want to risk change of leadership in Pakistan and Trump does not care about the area… there is not enough heat for these sparks to inflame the fuel… The only interested parties and Hindu nationalists and the US establishment for weaponry sales and make India closer to US… but again, Israel has this establishment in a tight leash.
I very much hope this will end with a few border skirmishes. It’s clearly not rational to let this escalate, but unfortunately these things can easily take on logic of their own. Each retaliation can lead to a bigger retaliation from the other side, and things can easily spin out of control. Let’s hope cooler minds prevail in the end.
Pakistan is a critical part of BRI, and India is an important member of BRICS. A war between Pakistan and India will impede trade over BRI and sour relations between two biggest BRICS members. Given that the US is in economic war with China, it seems pretty obvious who the biggest beneficiary of all this is.
True. I don´t quite see a war popping up though… Pakistani social media is currently laughing at its own military (understandably so) and wishing it crumbles. India will soon see investment fly if this continues. Israel does not want to risk change of leadership in Pakistan and Trump does not care about the area… there is not enough heat for these sparks to inflame the fuel… The only interested parties and Hindu nationalists and the US establishment for weaponry sales and make India closer to US… but again, Israel has this establishment in a tight leash.
I very much hope this will end with a few border skirmishes. It’s clearly not rational to let this escalate, but unfortunately these things can easily take on logic of their own. Each retaliation can lead to a bigger retaliation from the other side, and things can easily spin out of control. Let’s hope cooler minds prevail in the end.